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Light Heavyweight · 3R · 2026-03-07 · Las VegasRef: Herb Dean
Rafael Tobias

Rafael Tobias

0-1 UFC

Light Heavyweight

0%

Win %

0%

Finish %

VS

Decision

Diyar Nurgozhay
WINNER

Diyar Nurgozhay

1-2 UFC

Light Heavyweight

33%

Win %

0%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

27Ben Cartlidge30
28David Lethaby29
28Tony Weeks29

FIGHT STATS

TobiasStatNurgozhay
39/101
Sig Strikes
94/143
52/114
Total Strikes
100/150
2/8
Takedowns
0/1
0
Knockdowns
0
2:31
Control Time
1:28
1
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

29(34%)
HEAD
33(46%)
7(70%)
BODY
37(79%)
3(60%)
LEG
24(96%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

26(31%)
DISTANCE
81(66%)
4(67%)
CLINCH
5(83%)
9(82%)
GROUND
8(53%)

CAREER STATS

RAFAEL TOBIAS

0%

FINISH %

2.6

STRIKES / MIN

188 cm

REACH

188 cm

HEIGHT

DIYAR NURGOZHAY

0%

FINISH %

4.9

STRIKES / MIN

188 cm

REACH

188 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

TobiasBookNurgozhay
-190BetRivers+150
-175BetWay+140
-175Caesars+145
-174FanDuel+146
-190Unibet+150

PROP LINES

Nurgozhay wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+295
BetWay+350
FanDuel+320
Unibet+300

Tobias wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+370
BetWay+300
FanDuel+390
Unibet+370

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+300
BetWay+275
FanDuel+270
Unibet+300

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers+114
Unibet+114

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-137
BetWay-120
FanDuel-134
Unibet-136

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+100
BetWay-110
FanDuel+102
Unibet+102

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+185
BetWay+200
Unibet+190

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-265
BetWay-275
Unibet-265

Fight is a draw

BetRivers+4500
BetWay+8000
Caesars+6000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+175
BetWay+150
FanDuel+125
Unibet+175

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+250
BetWay+250
FanDuel+310
Unibet+250

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+350
BetWay+450
FanDuel+500
Unibet+350

Nurgozhay wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+340
FanDuel+290
Unibet+340

Tobias wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+140
FanDuel+130
Unibet+140

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-167
Unibet-167

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+360
FanDuel+320
Unibet+360

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+460
FanDuel+700
Unibet+460

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+600
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+600

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+410
FanDuel+370
Unibet+410

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+575
FanDuel+700
Unibet+575

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+750
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+750

Nurgozhay wins in round 1

BetWay+700
Caesars+500
FanDuel+480
Unibet+700

Tobias wins in round 1

BetWay+200
Caesars+175
FanDuel+260
Unibet+310

Nurgozhay wins in round 2

BetWay+900
Caesars+850
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+800

Tobias wins in round 2

BetWay+350
Caesars+420
FanDuel+500
Unibet+440

Nurgozhay wins in round 3

BetWay+1200
Caesars+1400
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+900

Tobias wins in round 3

BetWay+700
Caesars+850
FanDuel+800
Unibet+650

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-176

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel+132

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+135

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+150

Nurgozhay wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+460
Unibet+400

Tobias wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+300
Unibet+265

HIGHLIGHTS

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Full fight & highlights

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